Fire KongmingTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.2%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1031
· median 1031
· range 1031–1031
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1197
Q3 1369
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
